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Saturday Coupon Buster (Tips)

Right so let’s review my Saturday tips, original post is here:

https://realfootballman.wordpress.com/2015/04/24/soccer-saturday-tips/

But to recap it was Watford and Middlesbrough to both win Away and Manchester City to win at home.

Watford got us off to a good start with a lunchtime win over Brighton at The AMEX. Their 2-0 win also put them a step closer to Premier League promotion so we can mark that down as a YES.

But…and this is a big but. Middlesbrough let us down with a 4-3 defeat to Fulham at Craven Cottage. Middlesbrough who went down to 10 men, managed to claw it back to 3-3 in the 88th minute and then they ended up throwing the kitchen sink at Fulham in order to get a winner, unfortunately the winner did come but it was for the Cottagers. All I would ask is where have Fulham performed like that this season. A real Coupon Buster to to speak and tips wise a NO.

This then meant the Manchester City vs Aston Villa game was pretty academic but ‘City did win 3-2 at The Etihad. Although after being 2-0 they did their best to throw the victory away. Firstly with the game level at 2-2 with 5 minutes to go and then a wrong offside decision from the linesman when Christian Benteke was through on goal who was subsequently then tripped by Joe Hart, which surely would have led to a red card and a penalty to Aston Villa. Thankfully for ‘City the luck was with them and they went onto get a winner late on through Fernandinho. Therefore tips wise this was a YES

So 2 out of 3 yesterday as Middlesbrough let me down. That gives me now a 7 out of 11 prediction success rate, so a slight increase to 63% but ultimately only 1 bet from 4 is correct so a 25% hit rate. Therefore after the winnings from Tuesday we are back to break even.

If we break down the 11 predictions, the stats are 7 correct, 3 wrong with draws and 1 wrong with defeat. So if you were to add “Draw no bet” stipulations the success rate would be 91% but the payoffs would be much much less.
So if we’ve learned anything from this weeks tipping is that close isn’t close enough and I don’t think I’m in a position to start charging for tips just yet.

A frustrating day at the office yesterday as only 1 result let us down but that’s the nature of Football Betting I guess and that’s what keeps bringing you back for another try. I’ll try and get some more tips us for today a later on to see if we can break the run off loses after a red hot start. If you placed yesterday’s tips then apologies they didn’t come in, but ultimately thanks for taking the time to read (I promise I’ll try not to lose too much more of your money)

Let’s see if there’s a Super Sunday round the corner. Happy tipping!

 

 

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